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Red103
635734.8
885835.0
731227.9
Blue100
590827.3
749247.3
875011.4
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11187406080100120140160180103100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
Teleop+3
Endgame+3
+3Fouls
AutonomousBlue +4
3Leave0
3Coral scored#4
13Coral points20
16Total auto20
TeleoperatedRed +1
15Coral scored#14
55Coral points52
1Processor algae#2
4Net algae#3
6Processor points12
16Net points12
22Algae points24
77Total teleop76
Reef
7L4#7
5L3#5
4L2#3
2L1 · trough#3
23Game pieces#23
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +3
6Foul points0
103Total score100

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8858
#10
35.00.1
34.734.6
Auto4.1
Teleop25.9
End5.0
blue by 12.2
47.31.1
44.045.2
Auto11.7
Teleop33.5
End2.1
Second
34.80.1
33.833.7
Auto5.9
Teleop25.5
End3.4
red by 7.5
5908
#14
27.31.1
26.327.5
Auto4.3
Teleop21.3
End1.6
Third
7312
#13
27.90.1
26.926.8
Auto4.4
Teleop22.0
End1.5
red by 16.6
8750
#27
11.41.1
10.011.2
Auto2.9
Teleop6.3
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
42%Auto oddsEarned83%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
46%Barge oddsMissed38%Barge oddsMissed