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Red113
749247.3
811423.0
542736.9
Blue92
258540.1
885835.0
761618.2
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12010140608014016018011392

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
+7Teleop
+17Endgame
+21Fouls
AutonomousRed +4
3Leave3
4Coral scored#3
20Coral points16
23Total auto19
TeleoperatedRed +3
13Coral scored#15
46Coral points55
1Processor algae#1
4Net algae#1
6Processor points6
16Net points4
22Algae points10
68Total teleop65
Reef
7L4#5
4L3#7
4L2#3
2L1 · trough#3
22Game pieces#20
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Penalties & totalRed +21
6Foul points2
113Total score92

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
47.30.0
46.846.8
Auto11.7
Teleop33.5
End2.1
red by 7.2
40.10.1
40.240.1
Auto6.5
Teleop25.7
End7.9
Second
36.90.0
36.436.4
Auto4.5
Teleop25.6
End6.7
red by 1.8
8858
#10
35.00.1
35.135.0
Auto4.1
Teleop25.9
End5.0
Third
8114
#32
23.00.0
22.522.6
Auto3.5
Teleop16.6
End2.9
red by 4.8
7616
#17
18.20.1
18.218.2
Auto4.3
Teleop11.0
End2.9