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Red101
258540.1
885835.0
761618.2
Blue106
635734.8
731227.9
592311.5
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions109844060100120140160180101106

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+5Teleop
+5Endgame
Fouls+5
Autonomouslevel
9Leave3
1Coral scored#3
7Coral points13
16Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +5
13Coral scored#12
45Coral points42
2Processor algae#1
2Net algae#3
12Processor points6
8Net points12
20Algae points18
65Total teleop60
Reef
4L4#6
4L3#5
3L2#2
3L1 · trough#2
18Game pieces#19
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Penalties & totalBlue +5
4Foul points14
101Total score106

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.10.0
40.040.0
Auto6.5
Teleop25.7
End7.9
red by 5.3
34.80.3
34.534.8
Auto5.9
Teleop25.5
End3.4
Second
8858
#10
35.00.0
34.934.9
Auto4.1
Teleop25.9
End5.0
red by 7.1
7312
#13
27.90.3
27.728.0
Auto4.4
Teleop22.0
End1.5
Third
7616
#17
18.20.0
18.118.0
Auto4.3
Teleop11.0
End2.9
red by 6.6
5923
#25
11.50.3
11.311.6
Auto2.1
Teleop7.4
End2.0