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Red130
589250.5
664513.6
23149.4
Blue45
930721.3
769118.5
624323.3
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions121645010015020013045

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+61Teleop
+83Endgame
+85Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
3Leave9
5Coral scored#1
23Coral points3
26Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +47
17Coral scored#5
62Coral points19
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
6Processor points6
8Net points4
14Algae points10
76Total teleop29
Reef
8L4#3
7L3#1
4L2#1
3L1 · trough#1
25Game pieces#8
BargeRed +22
26Cage & park4
26Total endgame4
Penalties & totalRed +85
2Foul points0
130Total score45

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
50.50.4
47.447.8
Auto13.1
Teleop31.8
End5.5
red by 27.1
6243
#11
23.30.5
23.523.0
Auto5.3
Teleop15.3
End2.8
Second
231
#8
49.40.4
46.446.8
Auto8.6
Teleop32.1
End8.7
red by 28.1
9307
#16
21.30.5
21.420.9
Auto3.8
Teleop15.6
End2.0
Third
6645
#33
13.60.4
10.510.9
Auto3.0
Teleop7.8
End2.8
blue by 4.9
7691
#24
18.50.5
18.718.1
Auto3.1
Teleop13.5
End1.9