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Red68
590827.3
1011828.5
12722.2
Blue107
258540.1
885835.0
761618.2
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9611740608014016018068107

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
Teleop+13
Endgame+37
Fouls+39
AutonomousBlue +10
3Leave9
1Coral scored#2
6Coral points10
9Total auto19
TeleoperatedBlue +3
13Coral scored#12
45Coral points42
1Processor algae#2
1Net algae#1
6Processor points12
4Net points4
10Algae points16
55Total teleop58
Reef
6L4#5
3L3#5
3L2#3
2L1 · trough#1
16Game pieces#17
BargeBlue +24
2Cage & park26
2Total endgame26
Penalties & totalBlue +39
2Foul points4
68Total score107

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.50.4
28.828.5
Auto6.1
Teleop13.9
End8.5
blue by 11.7
40.10.2
40.040.2
Auto6.5
Teleop25.7
End7.9
Second
5908
#14
27.30.4
27.627.3
Auto4.3
Teleop21.3
End1.6
blue by 7.8
8858
#10
35.00.2
34.935.1
Auto4.1
Teleop25.9
End5.0
Third
127
#15
22.20.4
22.522.2
Auto3.2
Teleop17.6
End1.4
red by 4.0
7616
#17
18.20.2
18.018.2
Auto4.3
Teleop11.0
End2.9