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Red84
930721.3
769118.5
624323.3
Blue91
258733.1
354530.4
951221.6
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions721100501001502008491

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+11
+3Teleop
+5Endgame
Fouls+7
AutonomousBlue +11
0Leave9
2Coral scored#3
12Coral points14
12Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +14
13Coral scored#8
46Coral points30
2Processor algae#1
2Net algae#4
12Processor points6
8Net points16
20Algae points22
66Total teleop52
Reef
5L4#5
6L3#2
2L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
19Game pieces#16
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Penalties & totalBlue +7
0Foul points12
84Total score91

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6243
#11
23.30.4
23.023.3
Auto5.3
Teleop15.3
End2.8
blue by 9.8
2587
#26
33.10.3
33.833.5
Auto7.7
Teleop23.7
End1.7
Second
9307
#16
21.30.4
20.921.3
Auto3.8
Teleop15.6
End2.0
blue by 9.2
30.40.3
31.230.9
Auto4.2
Teleop16.4
End9.8
Third
7691
#24
18.50.4
18.118.5
Auto3.1
Teleop13.5
End1.9
blue by 3.1
9512
#31
21.60.3
22.322.0
Auto5.2
Teleop16.1
End0.2