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Red204
1038521.4
11897.5
32446.3
Blue106
635734.8
731227.9
592311.5
100%Model gave it0%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions18368050100150200250204106

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+17Auto
+86Teleop
+76Endgame
+98Fouls
AutonomousRed +17
0Leave0
7Coral scored#3
33Coral points16
33Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +69
26Coral scored#10
93Coral points36
3Processor algae#3
6Net algae#3
18Processor points18
24Net points12
42Algae points30
135Total teleop66
Reef
16L4#5
9L3#3
5L2#3
3L1 · trough#2
42Game pieces#19
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Penalties & totalRed +98
30Foul points8
204Total score106

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
118
#1
97.50.2
95.695.8
Auto21.1
Teleop64.9
End11.5
red by 62.8
34.80.4
34.835.2
Auto5.9
Teleop25.5
End3.4
Second
324
#4
46.30.2
44.444.6
Auto7.0
Teleop34.0
End5.4
red by 18.4
7312
#13
27.90.4
28.028.4
Auto4.4
Teleop22.0
End1.5
Third
21.40.2
19.519.7
Auto2.7
Teleop16.5
End2.3
red by 9.9
5923
#25
11.50.4
11.612.0
Auto2.1
Teleop7.4
End2.0