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Red141
589250.5
664513.6
23149.4
Blue106
749247.3
542736.9
811423.0
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1131118090100120130140150141106

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+1
+25Teleop
+35Endgame
+35Fouls
AutonomousBlue +1
6Leave9
5Coral scored#4
23Coral points21
29Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +26
20Coral scored#12
72Coral points42
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#3
6Processor points6
8Net points12
14Algae points18
86Total teleop60
Reef
8L4#5
8L3#5
5L2#3
4L1 · trough#3
28Game pieces#20
BargeRed +10
26Cage & park16
26Total endgame16
Penalties & totalRed +35
0Foul points0
141Total score106

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
50.50.8
47.848.6
Auto13.1
Teleop31.8
End5.5
red by 3.2
47.30.0
46.846.8
Auto11.7
Teleop33.5
End2.1
Second
231
#8
49.40.8
46.847.6
Auto8.6
Teleop32.1
End8.7
red by 12.6
36.90.0
36.436.4
Auto4.5
Teleop25.6
End6.7
Third
6645
#33
13.60.8
10.911.7
Auto3.0
Teleop7.8
End2.8
blue by 9.4
8114
#32
23.00.0
22.522.5
Auto3.5
Teleop16.6
End2.9