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Red227
817740.7
118107.9
14869.9
Blue174
62461.8
303548.2
288160.7
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions236169100150200250300227174

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+28Auto
+25Teleop
+55Endgame
+53Fouls
AutonomousRed +28
3Leave9
11Coral scored#4
55Coral points21
58Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +3
29Coral scored#23
103Coral points82
3Processor algae#5
3Net algae#6
18Processor points30
12Net points24
30Algae points54
133Total teleop136
Reef
16L4#8
10L3#7
8L2#7
6L1 · trough#5
46Game pieces#38
BargeRed +30
36Cage & park6
36Total endgame6
Penalties & totalRed +53
0Foul points2
227Total score174

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
118
#1
107.90.2
107.3107.5
Auto24.2
Teleop71.9
End11.8
red by 46.1
624
#17
61.80.0
61.561.5
Auto14.5
Teleop41.9
End5.4
Second
148
#2
69.90.2
69.369.5
Auto12.7
Teleop49.1
End8.1
red by 9.2
60.70.0
60.460.5
Auto11.0
Teleop40.8
End9.0
Third
8177
#11
40.70.2
40.240.4
Auto8.0
Teleop24.2
End8.5
blue by 7.5
3035
#12
48.20.0
47.947.9
Auto8.3
Teleop36.9
End3.0