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Red197
857650.8
41859.7
874958.8
Blue205
62461.8
303548.2
288160.7
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions178172120140160200220240197205

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+14
Endgame+14
Fouls+8
Autonomouslevel
0Leave3
9Coral scored#8
44Coral points41
44Total auto44
TeleoperatedBlue +14
24Coral scored#30
87Coral points107
3Processor algae#2
4Net algae#4
18Processor points12
16Net points16
34Algae points28
121Total teleop135
Reef
15L4#11
7L3#12
8L2#9
3L1 · trough#6
40Game pieces#44
Bargelevel
26Cage & park26
26Total endgame26
Penalties & totalBlue +8
6Foul points0
197Total score205

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
418
#22
59.70.5
59.359.7
Auto14.8
Teleop35.9
End9.1
blue by 2.1
624
#17
61.80.8
60.761.5
Auto14.5
Teleop41.9
End5.4
Second
58.80.5
58.458.8
Auto14.3
Teleop34.7
End9.8
blue by 1.9
60.70.8
59.660.4
Auto11.0
Teleop40.8
End9.0
Third
8576
#20
50.80.5
50.450.8
Auto4.7
Teleop38.4
End7.7
red by 2.6
3035
#12
48.20.8
47.147.9
Auto8.3
Teleop36.9
End3.0