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Red216
62461.8
303548.2
288160.7
Blue166
808843.9
384762.4
636982.6
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions169200100150250216166

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+18Teleop
+26Endgame
+50Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
3Leave3
8Coral scored#7
41Coral points34
44Total auto37
TeleoperatedRed +11
19Coral scored#22
70Coral points79
4Processor algae#2
7Net algae#5
24Processor points12
28Net points20
52Algae points32
122Total teleop111
Reef
11L4#8
7L3#9
5L2#7
4L1 · trough#5
38Game pieces#36
BargeRed +8
24Cage & park16
24Total endgame16
Penalties & totalRed +50
26Foul points2
216Total score166

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
624
#17
61.80.5
60.260.7
Auto14.5
Teleop41.9
End5.4
blue by 20.8
82.60.6
83.282.6
Auto22.2
Teleop51.9
End8.5
Second
60.70.5
59.159.6
Auto11.0
Teleop40.8
End9.0
blue by 1.6
62.40.6
63.062.4
Auto13.2
Teleop39.4
End9.9
Third
3035
#12
48.20.5
46.647.1
Auto8.3
Teleop36.9
End3.0
red by 4.3
8088
#30
43.90.6
44.543.9
Auto3.8
Teleop36.5
End3.6