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Qual 162025 FIRST In Texas District Championship - Mercury Division
Red135
951513.9
384762.4
258739.4
Blue163
14869.9
582930.9
23154.1
8%Model gave it92%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11116150100150200250135163

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+11Auto
Teleop+16
Endgame+28
Fouls+28
AutonomousRed +11
0Leave3
6Coral scored#3
30Coral points16
30Total auto19
TeleoperatedBlue +27
17Coral scored#23
61Coral points82
3Processor algae#2
3Net algae#6
18Processor points12
12Net points24
30Algae points36
91Total teleop118
Reef
7L4#13
6L3#4
7L2#3
3L1 · trough#6
29Game pieces#34
BargeBlue +12
14Cage & park26
14Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +28
0Foul points0
135Total score163

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3847
#3
62.41.2
59.1→60.3
Auto13.2
Teleop39.4
End9.9
blue by 7.5
148
#2
69.90.5
66.2→66.7
Auto12.7
Teleop49.1
End8.1
Second
2587
#29
39.41.2
35.3→36.5
Auto8.5
Teleop27.9
End3.1
blue by 14.6
231
#6
54.10.5
50.2→50.7
Auto7.7
Teleop36.6
End9.8
Third
9515
#45
13.91.2
11.6→12.8
Auto4.7
Teleop7.5
End1.8
blue by 16.9
5829
#18
30.90.5
28.2→28.7
Auto5.6
Teleop22.6
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
82%Auto oddsEarned96%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
9%Coral oddsEarned13%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
81%Barge oddsEarned90%Barge oddsEarned