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Red57
541728.3
965823.5
873217.1
Blue155
543143.9
41859.7
667252.0
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions48147010020057155

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+31
Teleop+90
Endgame+92
Fouls+98
AutonomousBlue +31
3Leave0
1Coral scored#7
3Coral points37
6Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +59
9Coral scored#20
31Coral points72
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#5
6Processor points12
8Net points20
14Algae points32
45Total teleop104
Reef
3L4#9
3L3#8
2L2#6
2L1 · trough#4
13Game pieces#34
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +98
2Foul points8
57Total score155

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5417
#44
28.30.8
16.415.6
Auto3.4
Teleop21.4
End3.5
blue by 31.4
418
#22
59.70.7
49.249.9
Auto14.8
Teleop35.9
End9.1
Second
9658
#41
23.50.8
19.919.1
Auto4.7
Teleop18.1
End0.7
blue by 28.4
6672
#14
52.00.7
37.838.4
Auto13.5
Teleop34.1
End4.3
Third
8732
#40
17.10.8
19.819.0
Auto3.6
Teleop12.3
End1.2
blue by 26.8
5431
#26
43.90.7
38.639.3
Auto6.1
Teleop35.1
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
43%Auto oddsMissed91%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed24%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
31%Barge oddsMissed67%Barge oddsMissed