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Red81
1051816.6
526130.1
808843.9
Blue113
874958.8
510327.8
910567.9
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6515605010020025081113

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+32
Endgame+44
Fouls+32
AutonomousBlue +14
0Leave9
2Coral scored#3
9Coral points14
9Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +18
13Coral scored#12
48Coral points42
1Processor algae#3
1Net algae#4
6Processor points18
4Net points16
10Algae points34
58Total teleop76
Reef
7L4#6
4L3#3
3L2#4
1L1 · trough#2
17Game pieces#22
BargeBlue +12
2Cage & park14
2Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +32
12Foul points0
81Total score113

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8088
#30
43.90.0
37.037.0
Auto3.8
Teleop36.5
End3.6
blue by 24.0
67.91.4
65.664.2
Auto14.3
Teleop46.4
End7.2
Second
5261
#39
30.10.0
21.821.8
Auto4.9
Teleop24.5
End0.8
blue by 28.7
58.81.4
44.443.0
Auto14.3
Teleop34.7
End9.8
Third
16.60.0
9.69.6
Auto2.9
Teleop12.1
End1.5
blue by 11.2
5103
#34
27.81.4
24.322.9
Auto3.4
Teleop22.0
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
13%Auto oddsMissed72%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed12%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
17%Barge oddsEarned77%Barge oddsEarned