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Red211
271462.7
268946.4
62461.8
Blue236
857650.8
303548.2
118107.9
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions148194100250211236

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
Teleop+29
Endgame+31
Fouls+25
AutonomousRed +3
0Leave3
8Coral scored#7
40Coral points34
40Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +32
26Coral scored#33
95Coral points119
3Processor algae#5
7Net algae#6
18Processor points30
28Net points24
46Algae points54
141Total teleop173
Reef
13L4#13
10L3#11
7L2#7
4L1 · trough#9
44Game pieces#51
BargeBlue +2
24Cage & park26
24Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +25
6Foul points0
211Total score236

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
62.73.3
56.359.6
Auto13.6
Teleop41.9
End7.1
blue by 45.2
118
#1
107.93.2
99.9103.1
Auto24.2
Teleop71.9
End11.8
Second
624
#17
61.83.3
42.645.9
Auto14.5
Teleop41.9
End5.4
red by 11.0
8576
#20
50.83.2
33.336.5
Auto4.7
Teleop38.4
End7.7
Third
2689
#10
46.43.3
39.242.5
Auto7.8
Teleop28.7
End9.9
blue by 1.8
3035
#12
48.23.2
38.942.0
Auto8.3
Teleop36.9
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
95%Auto oddsEarned97%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
12%Coral oddsMissed94%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
97%Barge oddsEarned96%Barge oddsEarned