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Red82
582930.9
461029.4
965823.5
Blue173
873217.1
910567.9
288160.7
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7716205010015020025082173

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+79
Endgame+99
Fouls+91
AutonomousBlue +7
3Leave9
1Coral scored#1
6Coral points7
9Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +72
9Coral scored#25
33Coral points91
2Processor algae#3
4Net algae#6
12Processor points18
16Net points24
28Algae points42
61Total teleop133
Reef
3L4#10
3L3#8
3L2#4
1L1 · trough#4
16Game pieces#35
BargeBlue +20
4Cage & park24
4Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +91
8Foul points0
82Total score173

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5829
#18
30.90.8
28.727.9
Auto5.6
Teleop22.6
End2.7
blue by 37.1
67.91.4
64.265.6
Auto14.3
Teleop46.4
End7.2
Second
4610
#43
29.40.8
26.625.9
Auto4.0
Teleop23.3
End2.1
blue by 31.4
60.71.4
57.458.8
Auto11.0
Teleop40.8
End9.0
Third
9658
#41
23.50.8
19.118.3
Auto4.7
Teleop18.1
End0.7
red by 6.4
8732
#40
17.11.4
19.020.4
Auto3.6
Teleop12.3
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
30%Auto oddsMissed90%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed28%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
24%Barge oddsMissed84%Barge oddsEarned