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Red124
23154.1
303548.2
543143.9
Blue112
464142.6
526130.1
510327.8
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1568250100200250124112

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+6Auto
0Teleop0
+12Endgame
+12Fouls
AutonomousRed +6
9Leave0
3Coral scored#3
13Coral points16
22Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +6
17Coral scored#20
62Coral points72
2Processor algae#2
3Net algae#2
12Processor points12
12Net points8
24Algae points20
86Total teleop92
Reef
8L4#6
5L3#8
5L2#5
2L1 · trough#4
25Game pieces#27
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +12
0Foul points0
124Total score112

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
231
#6
54.10.9
50.749.7
Auto7.7
Teleop36.6
End9.8
red by 11.4
4641
#27
42.61.6
37.839.4
Auto13.0
Teleop27.3
End2.3
Second
3035
#12
48.20.9
42.041.1
Auto8.3
Teleop36.9
End3.0
red by 18.1
5261
#39
30.11.6
21.823.4
Auto4.9
Teleop24.5
End0.8
Third
5431
#26
43.90.9
39.338.4
Auto6.1
Teleop35.1
End2.7
red by 16.1
5103
#34
27.81.6
22.924.5
Auto3.4
Teleop22.0
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
89%Auto oddsEarned32%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
19%Coral oddsEarned4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
55%Barge oddsEarned20%Barge oddsMissed