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Red229
874958.8
808843.9
118107.9
Blue137
542743.5
667252.0
950635.2
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions20410650150250300229137

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+58Teleop
+90Endgame
+92Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
3Leave3
8Coral scored#6
41Coral points31
44Total auto34
TeleoperatedRed +48
21Coral scored#21
77Coral points75
7Processor algae#2
7Net algae#3
42Processor points12
28Net points12
70Algae points24
147Total teleop99
Reef
9L4#14
6L3#4
8L2#5
6L1 · trough#4
43Game pieces#32
BargeRed +32
36Cage & park4
36Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +92
2Foul points0
229Total score137

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
118
#1
107.92.2
103.1105.3
Auto24.2
Teleop71.9
End11.8
red by 55.9
6672
#14
52.01.4
38.439.8
Auto13.5
Teleop34.1
End4.3
Second
58.82.2
43.045.2
Auto14.3
Teleop34.7
End9.8
red by 15.3
5427
#23
43.51.4
37.438.8
Auto7.6
Teleop31.3
End4.6
Third
8088
#30
43.92.2
37.039.2
Auto3.8
Teleop36.5
End3.6
red by 8.7
9506
#33
35.21.4
29.630.9
Auto5.8
Teleop24.4
End4.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
92%Auto oddsEarned85%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
81%Coral oddsEarned12%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
97%Barge oddsEarned80%Barge oddsMissed