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Red69
951513.9
857320.1
419238.9
Blue147
62461.8
373538.6
258247.3
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions47138010015020025069147

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+27
Teleop+64
Endgame+72
Fouls+78
AutonomousBlue +27
0Leave3
3Coral scored#7
13Coral points37
13Total auto40
TeleoperatedBlue +37
11Coral scored#16
38Coral points59
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#5
6Processor points6
4Net points20
10Algae points26
48Total teleop85
Reef
4L4#7
4L3#8
4L2#3
2L1 · trough#5
16Game pieces#29
BargeBlue +8
8Cage & park16
8Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +78
0Foul points6
69Total score147

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4192
#38
38.91.1
31.532.6
Auto8.0
Teleop29.2
End1.7
blue by 22.9
624
#17
61.81.2
45.947.1
Auto14.5
Teleop41.9
End5.4
Second
8573
#36
20.11.1
8.69.7
Auto3.5
Teleop13.1
End3.4
blue by 27.2
2582
#19
47.31.2
42.944.1
Auto6.7
Teleop33.5
End7.1
Third
9515
#45
13.91.1
12.813.9
Auto4.7
Teleop7.5
End1.8
blue by 24.7
3735
#25
38.61.2
33.634.8
Auto8.6
Teleop28.4
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
32%Auto oddsMissed88%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed12%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
28%Barge oddsMissed79%Barge oddsEarned