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Red73
473444.8
215825.1
873217.1
Blue163
817740.7
541448.7
910567.9
5%Model gave it95%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions901605020025073163

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+21
Teleop+58
Endgame+78
Fouls+90
AutonomousBlue +21
0Leave0
3Coral scored#7
16Coral points37
16Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +37
11Coral scored#16
39Coral points58
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#5
6Processor points12
8Net points20
14Algae points32
53Total teleop90
Reef
5L4#6
5L3#9
2L2#4
2L1 · trough#4
17Game pieces#30
BargeBlue +20
4Cage & park24
4Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +90
0Foul points12
73Total score163

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4734
#24
44.81.0
40.339.3
Auto8.2
Teleop32.7
End3.8
blue by 23.2
67.90.9
65.666.5
Auto14.3
Teleop46.4
End7.2
Second
2158
#42
25.11.0
26.725.7
Auto5.5
Teleop19.6
End0.1
blue by 23.5
5414
#15
48.70.9
39.240.1
Auto9.9
Teleop35.8
End2.9
Third
8732
#40
17.11.0
20.419.4
Auto3.6
Teleop12.3
End1.2
blue by 23.6
8177
#11
40.70.9
32.933.8
Auto8.0
Teleop24.2
End8.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
63%Auto oddsEarned89%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
11%Coral oddsMissed21%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
30%Barge oddsMissed78%Barge oddsEarned