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Red234
636982.6
697433.6
62461.8
Blue143
268946.4
541728.3
857320.1
100%Model gave it0%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1958150100150250300234143

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+28Auto
+93Teleop
+91Endgame
+91Fouls
AutonomousRed +28
3Leave6
7Coral scored#1
37Coral points6
40Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +65
37Coral scored#23
132Coral points83
4Processor algae#2
6Net algae#5
24Processor points12
24Net points20
48Algae points32
180Total teleop115
Reef
13L4#10
12L3#8
11L2#4
8L1 · trough#2
54Game pieces#31
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +91
0Foul points0
234Total score143

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
82.63.0
81.284.2
Auto22.2
Teleop51.9
End8.5
red by 36.2
2689
#10
46.42.3
45.547.7
Auto7.8
Teleop28.7
End9.9
Second
624
#17
61.83.0
49.752.7
Auto14.5
Teleop41.9
End5.4
red by 33.5
5417
#44
28.32.3
17.019.3
Auto3.4
Teleop21.4
End3.5
Third
6974
#37
33.63.0
25.028.0
Auto3.6
Teleop28.9
End1.0
red by 13.5
8573
#36
20.12.3
12.314.6
Auto3.5
Teleop13.1
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
95%Auto oddsEarned62%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
38%Coral oddsEarned6%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
91%Barge oddsEarned84%Barge oddsEarned