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Red125
303548.2
14869.9
913735.7
Blue127
461029.4
258739.4
542743.5
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15911550100200250125127

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+2Teleop
Endgame+8
Fouls+2
Autonomouslevel
3Leave3
3Coral scored#3
13Coral points13
16Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +2
20Coral scored#18
71Coral points65
2Processor algae#2
4Net algae#5
12Processor points12
16Net points20
28Algae points32
99Total teleop97
Reef
9L4#5
7L3#7
4L2#6
3L1 · trough#3
29Game pieces#28
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +2
6Foul points0
125Total score127

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
148
#2
69.92.0
67.265.2
Auto12.7
Teleop49.1
End8.1
red by 26.4
5427
#23
43.50.6
41.442.1
Auto7.6
Teleop31.3
End4.6
Second
3035
#12
48.22.0
42.240.2
Auto8.3
Teleop36.9
End3.0
red by 8.8
2587
#29
39.40.6
38.739.4
Auto8.5
Teleop27.9
End3.1
Third
9137
#31
35.72.0
28.926.9
Auto6.3
Teleop26.3
End3.1
red by 6.4
4610
#43
29.40.6
25.426.0
Auto4.0
Teleop23.3
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
92%Auto oddsEarned48%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
42%Coral oddsEarned15%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
65%Barge oddsMissed35%Barge oddsEarned