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Red136
950635.2
1051816.6
129656.7
Blue127
510327.8
949257.5
543143.9
9%Model gave it91%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9213850150200136127

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+2Auto
+5Teleop
+3Endgame
+9Fouls
AutonomousRed +2
6Leave9
2Coral scored#1
12Coral points7
18Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +3
19Coral scored#16
68Coral points57
2Processor algae#2
3Net algae#5
12Processor points12
12Net points20
24Algae points32
92Total teleop89
Reef
8L4#5
5L3#7
6L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
26Game pieces#24
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +9
12Foul points6
136Total score127

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1296
#13
56.72.4
46.649.0
Auto5.1
Teleop43.3
End8.3
blue by 0.8
9492
#16
57.50.1
56.056.1
Auto13.1
Teleop36.6
End7.8
Second
9506
#33
35.22.4
30.432.8
Auto5.8
Teleop24.4
End4.9
blue by 8.7
5431
#26
43.90.1
39.039.1
Auto6.1
Teleop35.1
End2.7
Third
16.62.4
10.913.3
Auto2.9
Teleop12.1
End1.5
blue by 11.2
5103
#34
27.80.1
24.224.3
Auto3.4
Teleop22.0
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
52%Auto oddsEarned59%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed22%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
83%Barge oddsEarned47%Barge oddsEarned