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Red126
419238.9
288160.7
965823.5
Blue106
857650.8
215825.1
817740.7
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11211780100140160126106

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+17Auto
+26Teleop
+26Endgame
+20Fouls
AutonomousRed +17
0Leave0
5Coral scored#2
26Coral points9
26Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +9
17Coral scored#16
60Coral points59
2Processor algae#2
6Net algae#4
12Processor points12
24Net points16
36Algae points28
96Total teleop87
Reef
10L4#6
6L3#5
3L2#5
3L1 · trough#2
30Game pieces#24
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +20
0Foul points6
126Total score106

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
60.71.1
57.458.5
Auto11.0
Teleop40.8
End9.0
red by 9.9
8576
#20
50.80.1
41.641.6
Auto4.7
Teleop38.4
End7.7
Second
4192
#38
38.91.1
33.234.3
Auto8.0
Teleop29.2
End1.7
blue by 1.8
8177
#11
40.70.1
33.833.7
Auto8.0
Teleop24.2
End8.5
Third
9658
#41
23.51.1
18.519.6
Auto4.7
Teleop18.1
End0.7
blue by 1.6
2158
#42
25.10.1
25.725.6
Auto5.5
Teleop19.6
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
74%Auto oddsEarned59%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
14%Coral oddsMissed15%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
62%Barge oddsMissed85%Barge oddsMissed