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Red160
258247.3
268946.4
910567.9
Blue193
541448.7
636982.6
667252.0
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions180179150160170190200210220160193

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+18
Teleop+33
Endgame+33
Fouls+33
AutonomousBlue +18
6Leave3
3Coral scored#7
13Coral points34
19Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +15
23Coral scored#19
83Coral points68
2Processor algae#3
5Net algae#11
12Processor points18
20Net points44
32Algae points62
115Total teleop130
Reef
13L4#10
5L3#9
6L2#4
2L1 · trough#3
33Game pieces#40
Bargelevel
26Cage & park26
26Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +33
0Foul points0
160Total score193

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
67.90.3
66.566.2
Auto14.3
Teleop46.4
End7.2
blue by 14.7
82.61.5
84.285.7
Auto22.2
Teleop51.9
End8.5
Second
2582
#19
47.30.3
44.744.4
Auto6.7
Teleop33.5
End7.1
blue by 4.7
6672
#14
52.01.5
41.342.7
Auto13.5
Teleop34.1
End4.3
Third
2689
#10
46.40.3
47.747.4
Auto7.8
Teleop28.7
End9.9
blue by 2.3
5414
#15
48.71.5
40.141.6
Auto9.9
Teleop35.8
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
96%Auto oddsEarned96%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
58%Coral oddsEarned32%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
99%Barge oddsEarned87%Barge oddsEarned