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Red121
271462.7
873217.1
384762.4
Blue92
808843.9
697433.6
951513.9
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions167945015020025012192

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+17Auto
+9Teleop
+29Endgame
+29Fouls
AutonomousRed +17
0Leave0
5Coral scored#1
23Coral points6
23Total auto6
TeleoperatedBlue +8
15Coral scored#14
54Coral points50
1Processor algae#3
3Net algae#3
6Processor points18
12Net points12
18Algae points30
72Total teleop80
Reef
7L4#5
6L3#4
4L2#3
3L1 · trough#3
24Game pieces#21
BargeRed +20
26Cage & park6
26Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +29
0Foul points0
121Total score92

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
62.72.3
60.558.2
Auto13.6
Teleop41.9
End7.1
red by 18.8
8088
#30
43.90.4
40.640.2
Auto3.8
Teleop36.5
End3.6
Second
62.42.3
61.559.2
Auto13.2
Teleop39.4
End9.9
red by 28.8
6974
#37
33.60.4
28.027.6
Auto3.6
Teleop28.9
End1.0
Third
8732
#40
17.12.3
19.417.2
Auto3.6
Teleop12.3
End1.2
red by 3.2
9515
#45
13.90.4
14.914.5
Auto4.7
Teleop7.5
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
89%Auto oddsEarned27%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
28%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
92%Barge oddsEarned40%Barge oddsMissed