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Red143
23154.1
874958.8
436419.9
Blue112
473444.8
373538.6
464142.6
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1271240100200300400500143112

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+8
+5Teleop
+25Endgame
+31Fouls
AutonomousBlue +8
0Leave9
4Coral scored#4
22Coral points21
22Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +13
20Coral scored#17
73Coral points62
2Processor algae#1
1Net algae#2
12Processor points6
4Net points8
16Algae points14
89Total teleop76
Reef
10L4#7
5L3#6
5L2#4
4L1 · trough#4
27Game pieces#24
BargeRed +20
26Cage & park6
26Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +31
6Foul points0
143Total score112

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
58.81.6
45.447.0
Auto14.3
Teleop34.7
End9.8
red by 14.1
4734
#24
44.80.1
39.339.2
Auto8.2
Teleop32.7
End3.8
Second
231
#6
54.11.6
49.551.1
Auto7.7
Teleop36.6
End9.8
red by 11.4
4641
#27
42.60.1
40.039.9
Auto13.0
Teleop27.3
End2.3
Third
4364
#35
19.91.6
17.519.2
Auto5.8
Teleop12.8
End1.2
blue by 18.8
3735
#25
38.60.1
34.334.2
Auto8.6
Teleop28.4
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
88%Auto oddsEarned91%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed9%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
83%Barge oddsEarned21%Barge oddsMissed