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Red163
303548.2
41859.7
510327.8
Blue94
857320.1
258739.4
582930.9
87%Model gave it13%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions140915015020016394

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+57Teleop
+67Endgame
+69Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
6Leave9
3Coral scored#1
17Coral points7
23Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +50
24Coral scored#13
88Coral points46
1Processor algae#1
5Net algae#3
6Processor points6
20Net points12
26Algae points18
114Total teleop64
Reef
11L4#4
5L3#5
7L2#3
4L1 · trough#2
33Game pieces#18
BargeRed +10
24Cage & park14
24Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +69
2Foul points0
163Total score94

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
418
#22
59.72.1
53.255.4
Auto14.8
Teleop35.9
End9.1
red by 20.3
2587
#29
39.40.0
39.439.4
Auto8.5
Teleop27.9
End3.1
Second
3035
#12
48.22.1
40.242.4
Auto8.3
Teleop36.9
End3.0
red by 17.4
5829
#18
30.90.0
28.628.6
Auto5.6
Teleop22.6
End2.7
Third
5103
#34
27.82.1
24.326.4
Auto3.4
Teleop22.0
End2.4
red by 7.7
8573
#36
20.10.0
14.614.6
Auto3.5
Teleop13.1
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
86%Auto oddsEarned57%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
35%Coral oddsEarned11%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
26%Barge oddsEarned32%Barge oddsEarned