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Red155
62461.8
541448.7
857650.8
Blue214
950635.2
910567.9
636982.6
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14119950100250300155214

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+21
Teleop+65
Endgame+65
Fouls+59
AutonomousBlue +21
0Leave3
5Coral scored#9
26Coral points44
26Total auto47
TeleoperatedBlue +44
19Coral scored#33
67Coral points117
3Processor algae#2
6Net algae#6
18Processor points12
24Net points24
42Algae points36
109Total teleop153
Reef
7L4#18
5L3#11
7L2#5
5L1 · trough#8
33Game pieces#50
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +59
6Foul points0
155Total score214

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
624
#17
61.80.3
52.753.0
Auto14.5
Teleop41.9
End5.4
blue by 20.8
82.61.4
85.787.1
Auto22.2
Teleop51.9
End8.5
Second
8576
#20
50.80.3
41.641.8
Auto4.7
Teleop38.4
End7.7
blue by 17.1
67.91.4
66.267.6
Auto14.3
Teleop46.4
End7.2
Third
5414
#15
48.70.3
41.641.9
Auto9.9
Teleop35.8
End2.9
red by 13.5
9506
#33
35.21.4
32.834.3
Auto5.8
Teleop24.4
End4.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
89%Auto oddsEarned97%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
10%Coral oddsMissed71%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
60%Barge oddsEarned98%Barge oddsEarned