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Qual 492025 FIRST In Texas District Championship - Mercury Division
Red159
129656.7
731234.4
543143.9
Blue165
808843.9
258247.3
14869.9
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13116250100150200250159165

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
Teleop+4
Endgame+6
Fouls+6
AutonomousBlue +4
3Leave0
3Coral scored#5
16Coral points23
19Total auto23
Teleoperatedlevel
21Coral scored#17
74Coral points62
4Processor algae#6
7Net algae#7
24Processor points36
28Net points28
52Algae points64
126Total teleop126
Reef
8L4#10
8L3#4
4L2#5
4L1 · trough#3
35Game pieces#35
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +6
0Foul points0
159Total score165

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1296
#13
56.71.5
49.0→50.5
Auto5.1
Teleop43.3
End8.3
blue by 13.2
148
#2
69.90.3
65.2→65.4
Auto12.7
Teleop49.1
End8.1
Second
5431
#26
43.91.5
39.1→40.7
Auto6.1
Teleop35.1
End2.7
blue by 3.3
2582
#19
47.30.3
44.4→44.6
Auto6.7
Teleop33.5
End7.1
Third
7312
#28
34.41.5
36.5→38.1
Auto5.4
Teleop26.7
End2.2
blue by 9.5
8088
#30
43.90.3
40.2→40.5
Auto3.8
Teleop36.5
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
60%Auto oddsEarned83%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
17%Coral oddsEarned64%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
84%Barge oddsEarned95%Barge oddsEarned