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Red192
23154.1
464142.6
268946.4
Blue144
697433.6
873217.1
419238.9
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1779250150200250192144

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+24Teleop
+48Endgame
+48Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
0Leave6
7Coral scored#4
36Coral points20
36Total auto26
TeleoperatedRed +14
28Coral scored#24
102Coral points86
2Processor algae#1
4Net algae#6
12Processor points6
16Net points24
28Algae points30
130Total teleop116
Reef
16L4#12
9L3#8
6L2#6
4L1 · trough#2
41Game pieces#35
BargeRed +24
26Cage & park2
26Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +48
0Foul points0
192Total score144

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
231
#6
54.11.2
51.152.3
Auto7.7
Teleop36.6
End9.8
red by 15.2
4192
#38
38.91.7
34.336.0
Auto8.0
Teleop29.2
End1.7
Second
2689
#10
46.41.2
47.448.6
Auto7.8
Teleop28.7
End9.9
red by 12.8
6974
#37
33.61.7
27.629.3
Auto3.6
Teleop28.9
End1.0
Third
4641
#27
42.61.2
39.941.0
Auto13.0
Teleop27.3
End2.3
red by 25.5
8732
#40
17.11.7
17.218.9
Auto3.6
Teleop12.3
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
98%Auto oddsEarned54%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
18%Coral oddsEarned6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
93%Barge oddsEarned16%Barge oddsMissed