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Red215
949257.5
288160.7
118107.9
Blue39
951513.9
436419.9
215825.1
100%Model gave it0%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions25043010015020030035040021539

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+38Auto
+154Teleop
+172Endgame
+176Fouls
AutonomousRed +38
6Leave0
8Coral scored#1
38Coral points6
44Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +116
26Coral scored#6
95Coral points21
3Processor algae#0
7Net algae#1
18Processor points0
28Net points4
46Algae points4
141Total teleop25
Reef
11L4#3
11L3#2
5L2#1
7L1 · trough#1
44Game pieces#8
BargeRed +18
24Cage & park6
24Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +176
6Foul points2
215Total score39

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
118
#1
107.91.5
105.0103.5
Auto24.2
Teleop71.9
End11.8
red by 82.8
2158
#42
25.12.2
25.623.4
Auto5.5
Teleop19.6
End0.1
Second
60.71.5
58.557.1
Auto11.0
Teleop40.8
End9.0
red by 40.9
4364
#35
19.92.2
19.216.9
Auto5.8
Teleop12.8
End1.2
Third
9492
#16
57.51.5
56.154.7
Auto13.1
Teleop36.6
End7.8
red by 43.6
9515
#45
13.92.2
14.512.3
Auto4.7
Teleop7.5
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
99%Auto oddsEarned26%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
98%Coral oddsEarned5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
100%Barge oddsEarned21%Barge oddsMissed