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Red133
14869.9
541728.3
473444.8
Blue183
303548.2
808843.9
636982.6
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions136193100150250133183

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+24
Teleop+54
Endgame+44
Fouls+50
AutonomousBlue +24
9Leave3
1Coral scored#7
7Coral points37
16Total auto40
TeleoperatedBlue +30
18Coral scored#22
63Coral points79
2Processor algae#3
4Net algae#6
12Processor points18
16Net points24
28Algae points42
91Total teleop121
Reef
5L4#12
6L3#10
3L2#4
5L1 · trough#3
25Game pieces#38
BargeRed +10
26Cage & park16
26Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +50
0Foul points6
133Total score183

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
148
#2
69.90.4
64.765.1
Auto12.7
Teleop49.1
End8.1
blue by 12.7
82.60.2
85.886.0
Auto22.2
Teleop51.9
End8.5
Second
4734
#24
44.80.4
40.640.9
Auto8.2
Teleop32.7
End3.8
blue by 3.4
3035
#12
48.20.2
44.144.4
Auto8.3
Teleop36.9
End3.0
Third
5417
#44
28.30.4
22.022.4
Auto3.4
Teleop21.4
End3.5
blue by 15.6
8088
#30
43.90.2
43.844.0
Auto3.8
Teleop36.5
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
93%Auto oddsEarned86%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
31%Coral oddsEarned63%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
72%Barge oddsEarned82%Barge oddsEarned