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Qual 622025 FIRST In Texas District Championship - Mercury Division
Red120
965823.5
543143.9
258739.4
Blue158
541448.7
697433.6
874958.8
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12615780100140180200220120158

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+21
Teleop+42
Endgame+44
Fouls+38
AutonomousBlue +21
9Leave6
2Coral scored#7
10Coral points34
19Total auto40
TeleoperatedBlue +21
15Coral scored#19
55Coral points70
3Processor algae#4
5Net algae#5
18Processor points24
20Net points20
38Algae points44
93Total teleop114
Reef
5L4#9
6L3#6
3L2#5
3L1 · trough#6
25Game pieces#35
BargeBlue +2
2Cage & park4
2Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +38
6Foul points0
120Total score158

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5431
#26
43.90.3
40.4→40.0
Auto6.1
Teleop35.1
End2.7
blue by 14.9
8749
#9
58.81.1
50.2→51.3
Auto14.3
Teleop34.7
End9.8
Second
2587
#29
39.40.3
39.9→39.5
Auto8.5
Teleop27.9
End3.1
blue by 9.2
5414
#15
48.71.1
44.2→45.3
Auto9.9
Teleop35.8
End2.9
Third
9658
#41
23.50.3
21.6→21.3
Auto4.7
Teleop18.1
End0.7
blue by 10.1
6974
#37
33.61.1
30.9→32.0
Auto3.6
Teleop28.9
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
79%Auto oddsEarned78%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
10%Coral oddsEarned5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
38%Barge oddsMissed66%Barge oddsMissed