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Red129
857650.8
582930.9
373538.6
Blue115
62461.8
913735.7
1051816.6
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1211086080100140160180200129115

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+14Teleop
+14Endgame
+14Fouls
Autonomouslevel
9Leave9
1Coral scored#1
7Coral points7
16Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +14
20Coral scored#15
71Coral points55
2Processor algae#3
4Net algae#3
12Processor points18
16Net points12
28Algae points30
99Total teleop85
Reef
11L4#6
3L3#4
3L2#4
4L1 · trough#2
27Game pieces#22
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +14
0Foul points0
129Total score115

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8576
#20
50.81.4
45.146.5
Auto4.7
Teleop38.4
End7.7
blue by 11.0
624
#17
61.81.0
53.054.0
Auto14.5
Teleop41.9
End5.4
Second
3735
#25
38.61.4
35.737.0
Auto8.6
Teleop28.4
End1.7
red by 2.9
9137
#31
35.71.0
29.630.7
Auto6.3
Teleop26.3
End3.1
Third
5829
#18
30.91.4
27.328.7
Auto5.6
Teleop22.6
End2.7
red by 14.3
16.61.0
16.817.8
Auto2.9
Teleop12.1
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
75%Auto oddsEarned71%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
48%Barge oddsEarned25%Barge oddsEarned