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Red122
129656.7
873217.1
510327.8
Blue162
268946.4
384762.4
731234.4
1%Model gave it99%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10317750150200250122162

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+13
Teleop+14
Endgame+22
Fouls+40
AutonomousBlue +13
9Leave3
1Coral scored#5
4Coral points23
13Total auto26
TeleoperatedBlue +1
15Coral scored#18
53Coral points66
2Processor algae#2
7Net algae#4
12Processor points12
28Net points16
40Algae points28
93Total teleop94
Reef
8L4#8
4L3#8
2L2#4
2L1 · trough#3
25Game pieces#29
BargeBlue +8
16Cage & park24
16Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +40
0Foul points18
122Total score162

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1296
#13
56.70.8
52.353.1
Auto5.1
Teleop43.3
End8.3
blue by 5.7
62.41.2
61.560.4
Auto13.2
Teleop39.4
End9.9
Second
5103
#34
27.80.8
27.928.7
Auto3.4
Teleop22.0
End2.4
blue by 18.5
2689
#10
46.41.2
48.347.1
Auto7.8
Teleop28.7
End9.9
Third
8732
#40
17.10.8
17.518.3
Auto3.6
Teleop12.3
End1.2
blue by 17.3
7312
#28
34.41.2
36.635.5
Auto5.4
Teleop26.7
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
70%Auto oddsMissed96%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed36%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
53%Barge oddsEarned98%Barge oddsEarned