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Red83
541728.3
731234.4
808843.9
Blue105
473444.8
1051816.6
271462.7
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions831145010015020083105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
Teleop+16
Endgame+14
Fouls+22
AutonomousBlue +10
6Leave3
0Coral scored#3
0Coral points13
6Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +6
10Coral scored#14
37Coral points49
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#3
12Processor points6
12Net points12
24Algae points18
61Total teleop67
Reef
3L4#5
4L3#5
2L2#4
1L1 · trough#3
15Game pieces#21
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +22
0Foul points8
83Total score105

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8088
#30
43.90.1
36.436.5
Auto3.8
Teleop36.5
End3.6
blue by 18.8
62.70.3
56.255.9
Auto13.6
Teleop41.9
End7.1
Second
7312
#28
34.40.1
27.928.0
Auto5.4
Teleop26.7
End2.2
blue by 10.4
4734
#24
44.80.3
37.136.8
Auto8.2
Teleop32.7
End3.8
Third
5417
#44
28.30.1
17.417.5
Auto3.4
Teleop21.4
End3.5
red by 11.7
16.60.3
8.78.4
Auto2.9
Teleop12.1
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
26%Auto oddsMissed69%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
18%Barge oddsEarned73%Barge oddsEarned