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Red103
215825.1
303548.2
667252.0
Blue64
950635.2
258247.3
951513.9
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1069340608012014016010364

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+39Teleop
+39Endgame
+39Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
3Leave6
3Coral scored#0
17Coral points0
20Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +25
13Coral scored#9
45Coral points34
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#1
12Processor points6
12Net points4
24Algae points10
69Total teleop44
Reef
6L4#4
4L3#3
3L2#1
3L1 · trough#1
21Game pieces#11
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +39
0Foul points0
103Total score64

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6672
#14
52.00.7
37.137.8
Auto13.5
Teleop34.1
End4.3
red by 4.7
2582
#19
47.31.4
43.241.8
Auto6.7
Teleop33.5
End7.1
Second
3035
#12
48.20.7
37.237.9
Auto8.3
Teleop36.9
End3.0
red by 13.0
9506
#33
35.21.4
28.527.1
Auto5.8
Teleop24.4
End4.9
Third
2158
#42
25.10.7
18.619.3
Auto5.5
Teleop19.6
End0.1
red by 11.2
9515
#45
13.91.4
13.011.6
Auto4.7
Teleop7.5
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
75%Auto oddsEarned67%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
20%Coral oddsMissed11%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
26%Barge oddsEarned94%Barge oddsEarned