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Red136
542743.5
910567.9
303548.2
Blue113
731234.4
913735.7
951513.9
100%Model gave it0%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions18679050100150200250136113

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+21Teleop
+23Endgame
+23Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
0Leave6
6Coral scored#3
30Coral points17
30Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +14
18Coral scored#15
66Coral points54
3Processor algae#2
4Net algae#5
18Processor points12
16Net points20
34Algae points32
100Total teleop86
Reef
10L4#5
7L3#6
3L2#5
4L1 · trough#2
31Game pieces#25
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +23
0Foul points0
136Total score113

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
67.91.9
67.465.5
Auto14.3
Teleop46.4
End7.2
red by 32.2
9137
#31
35.71.6
30.732.3
Auto6.3
Teleop26.3
End3.1
Second
3035
#12
48.21.9
44.442.5
Auto8.3
Teleop36.9
End3.0
red by 13.8
7312
#28
34.41.6
35.537.1
Auto5.4
Teleop26.7
End2.2
Third
5427
#23
43.51.9
44.542.6
Auto7.6
Teleop31.3
End4.6
red by 29.6
9515
#45
13.91.6
14.315.9
Auto4.7
Teleop7.5
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
93%Auto oddsEarned50%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
67%Coral oddsEarned7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
78%Barge oddsMissed31%Barge oddsMissed