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Red120
464142.6
258739.4
950635.2
Blue63
1051816.6
857320.1
436419.9
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14550010020012063

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+55Teleop
+57Endgame
+57Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
9Leave6
3Coral scored#1
17Coral points6
26Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +41
17Coral scored#11
60Coral points39
3Processor algae#1
3Net algae#1
18Processor points6
12Net points4
30Algae points10
90Total teleop49
Reef
8L4#5
6L3#3
3L2#3
3L1 · trough#1
26Game pieces#14
BargeRed +2
4Cage & park2
4Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +57
0Foul points0
120Total score63

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4641
#27
42.60.6
41.240.6
Auto13.0
Teleop27.3
End2.3
red by 22.5
8573
#36
20.10.0
16.516.5
Auto3.5
Teleop13.1
End3.4
Second
2587
#29
39.40.6
39.539.0
Auto8.5
Teleop27.9
End3.1
red by 19.6
4364
#35
19.90.0
17.917.8
Auto5.8
Teleop12.8
End1.2
Third
9506
#33
35.20.6
36.535.9
Auto5.8
Teleop24.4
End4.9
red by 18.6
16.60.0
17.817.8
Auto2.9
Teleop12.1
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
91%Auto oddsEarned31%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
28%Coral oddsEarned9%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
50%Barge oddsMissed22%Barge oddsMissed