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Qual 742025 FIRST In Texas District Championship - Mercury Division
Red153
23154.1
808843.9
384762.4
Blue140
41859.7
419238.9
461029.4
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions17912650100150200250153140

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+15
+11Teleop
+13Endgame
+13Fouls
AutonomousBlue +15
3Leave9
4Coral scored#6
19Coral points28
22Total auto37
TeleoperatedRed +26
21Coral scored#13
77Coral points45
3Processor algae#2
5Net algae#8
18Processor points12
20Net points32
38Algae points44
115Total teleop89
Reef
8L4#10
8L3#4
6L2#2
3L1 · trough#3
33Game pieces#29
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +13
0Foul points0
153Total score140

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3847
#3
62.40.7
60.4→59.6
Auto13.2
Teleop39.4
End9.9
red by 2.7
418
#22
59.71.1
56.5→57.5
Auto14.8
Teleop35.9
End9.1
Second
231
#6
54.10.7
54.2→53.5
Auto7.7
Teleop36.6
End9.8
red by 15.2
4192
#38
38.91.1
35.9→36.9
Auto8.0
Teleop29.2
End1.7
Third
8088
#30
43.90.7
44.0→43.3
Auto3.8
Teleop36.5
End3.6
red by 14.6
4610
#43
29.41.1
25.7→26.8
Auto4.0
Teleop23.3
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
95%Auto oddsEarned78%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
26%Coral oddsEarned24%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
95%Barge oddsEarned39%Barge oddsEarned