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Red137
526130.1
873217.1
636982.6
Blue109
258247.3
949257.5
215825.1
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions144140110120130150160170180137109

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+26Teleop
+36Endgame
+28Fouls
Autonomouslevel
9Leave0
4Coral scored#6
21Coral points30
30Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +26
14Coral scored#14
51Coral points51
3Processor algae#2
6Net algae#1
18Processor points12
24Net points4
42Algae points16
93Total teleop67
Reef
4L4#5
5L3#7
5L2#5
4L1 · trough#3
27Game pieces#23
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +28
0Foul points8
137Total score109

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
82.60.5
86.086.5
Auto22.2
Teleop51.9
End8.5
red by 25.1
9492
#16
57.51.7
55.253.5
Auto13.1
Teleop36.6
End7.8
Second
5261
#39
30.10.5
25.726.2
Auto4.9
Teleop24.5
End0.8
blue by 17.1
2582
#19
47.31.7
47.045.4
Auto6.7
Teleop33.5
End7.1
Third
8732
#40
17.10.5
18.318.8
Auto3.6
Teleop12.3
End1.2
blue by 8.0
2158
#42
25.11.7
24.022.3
Auto5.5
Teleop19.6
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
86%Auto oddsEarned83%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
32%Coral oddsMissed62%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
76%Barge oddsEarned94%Barge oddsMissed