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Red163
910567.9
271462.7
582930.9
Blue228
14869.9
817740.7
118107.9
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions168231100150200250300163228

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+17
Teleop+65
Endgame+73
Fouls+65
AutonomousBlue +17
6Leave3
5Coral scored#9
24Coral points44
30Total auto47
TeleoperatedBlue +48
19Coral scored#21
67Coral points77
3Processor algae#4
6Net algae#14
18Processor points24
24Net points56
42Algae points80
109Total teleop157
Reef
7L4#11
6L3#8
6L2#6
5L1 · trough#5
33Game pieces#48
BargeBlue +8
16Cage & park24
16Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +65
8Foul points0
163Total score228

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
67.90.9
65.564.6
Auto14.3
Teleop46.4
End7.2
blue by 39.9
118
#1
107.90.7
105.3106.0
Auto24.2
Teleop71.9
End11.8
Second
62.70.9
63.662.8
Auto13.6
Teleop41.9
End7.1
blue by 7.2
148
#2
69.90.7
67.568.2
Auto12.7
Teleop49.1
End8.1
Third
5829
#18
30.90.9
31.030.1
Auto5.6
Teleop22.6
End2.7
blue by 9.9
8177
#11
40.70.7
36.236.9
Auto8.0
Teleop24.2
End8.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
91%Auto oddsEarned99%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
41%Coral oddsEarned98%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
92%Barge oddsEarned99%Barge oddsEarned