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Red128
258739.4
373538.6
268946.4
Blue97
965823.5
950635.2
731234.4
88%Model gave it12%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1491105010020012897

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+17Auto
+17Teleop
+27Endgame
+31Fouls
AutonomousRed +17
0Leave3
6Coral scored#2
29Coral points9
29Total auto12
Teleoperatedlevel
14Coral scored#16
51Coral points57
2Processor algae#1
4Net algae#4
12Processor points6
16Net points16
28Algae points22
79Total teleop79
Reef
6L4#6
6L3#5
5L2#4
3L1 · trough#3
26Game pieces#23
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +31
4Foul points0
128Total score97

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2689
#10
46.41.0
47.346.3
Auto7.8
Teleop28.7
End9.9
red by 11.2
9506
#33
35.20.7
35.935.2
Auto5.8
Teleop24.4
End4.9
Second
2587
#29
39.41.0
39.037.9
Auto8.5
Teleop27.9
End3.1
red by 5.0
7312
#28
34.40.7
37.136.3
Auto5.4
Teleop26.7
End2.2
Third
3735
#25
38.61.0
38.237.1
Auto8.6
Teleop28.4
End1.7
red by 15.1
9658
#41
23.50.7
22.221.5
Auto4.7
Teleop18.1
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
97%Auto oddsEarned78%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
18%Coral oddsMissed21%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
83%Barge oddsEarned39%Barge oddsMissed