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Red145
41859.7
129656.7
697433.6
Blue153
541448.7
419238.9
23154.1
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions175156120140200220240145153

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+6
Teleop+8
Endgame+8
Fouls+8
AutonomousBlue +6
6Leave3
2Coral scored#4
10Coral points19
16Total auto22
TeleoperatedBlue +2
22Coral scored#24
79Coral points85
2Processor algae#2
6Net algae#5
12Processor points12
24Net points20
36Algae points32
115Total teleop117
Reef
11L4#10
6L3#9
5L2#5
2L1 · trough#4
32Game pieces#35
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +8
0Foul points0
145Total score153

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
418
#22
59.70.2
57.557.3
Auto14.8
Teleop35.9
End9.1
red by 5.6
231
#6
54.11.0
53.554.4
Auto7.7
Teleop36.6
End9.8
Second
1296
#13
56.70.2
53.353.1
Auto5.1
Teleop43.3
End8.3
red by 8.1
5414
#15
48.71.0
45.446.4
Auto9.9
Teleop35.8
End2.9
Third
6974
#37
33.60.2
34.434.2
Auto3.6
Teleop28.9
End1.0
blue by 5.3
4192
#38
38.91.0
36.937.9
Auto8.0
Teleop29.2
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
89%Auto oddsEarned95%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
40%Coral oddsMissed10%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
92%Barge oddsEarned50%Barge oddsEarned