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Red224
817740.7
118107.9
14869.9
Blue154
258247.3
268946.4
464142.6
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions251150100200300350224154

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+12Auto
+80Teleop
+90Endgame
+70Fouls
AutonomousRed +12
6Leave3
8Coral scored#6
38Coral points29
44Total auto32
TeleoperatedRed +68
29Coral scored#19
104Coral points70
3Processor algae#0
8Net algae#4
18Processor points0
32Net points16
50Algae points16
154Total teleop86
Reef
9L4#8
15L3#7
8L2#7
5L1 · trough#3
48Game pieces#29
BargeRed +10
26Cage & park16
26Total endgame16
Penalties & totalRed +70
0Foul points20
224Total score154

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
118
#1
107.90.1
107.3107.2
Auto24.2
Teleop71.9
End11.8
red by 60.6
2582
#19
47.30.3
47.246.9
Auto6.7
Teleop33.5
End7.1
Second
148
#2
69.90.1
69.369.3
Auto12.7
Teleop49.1
End8.1
red by 23.5
2689
#10
46.40.3
46.346.0
Auto7.8
Teleop28.7
End9.9
Third
8177
#11
40.70.1
40.240.1
Auto8.0
Teleop24.2
End8.5
blue by 1.9
4641
#27
42.60.3
42.642.3
Auto13.0
Teleop27.3
End2.3