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Red112
857320.1
510327.8
473444.8
Blue166
288160.7
41859.7
258247.3
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8618350100150200250112166

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
Teleop+42
Endgame+54
Fouls+54
AutonomousBlue +4
6Leave3
1Coral scored#3
6Coral points13
12Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +38
17Coral scored#22
62Coral points78
2Processor algae#3
3Net algae#7
12Processor points18
12Net points28
24Algae points46
86Total teleop124
Reef
8L4#8
4L3#7
3L2#7
3L1 · trough#3
23Game pieces#35
BargeBlue +12
14Cage & park26
14Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +54
0Foul points0
112Total score166

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4734
#24
44.81.6
43.244.8
Auto8.2
Teleop32.7
End3.8
blue by 16.0
60.70.3
56.957.3
Auto11.0
Teleop40.8
End9.0
Second
5103
#34
27.81.6
26.227.8
Auto3.4
Teleop22.0
End2.4
blue by 31.9
418
#22
59.70.3
57.357.6
Auto14.8
Teleop35.9
End9.1
Third
8573
#36
20.11.6
18.520.1
Auto3.5
Teleop13.1
End3.4
blue by 27.2
2582
#19
47.30.3
46.947.2
Auto6.7
Teleop33.5
End7.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
65%Auto oddsEarned96%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed82%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
31%Barge oddsEarned99%Barge oddsEarned