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Red119
419238.9
1051816.6
667252.0
Blue156
949257.5
541448.7
303548.2
5%Model gave it95%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10216150150200119156

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+49
Endgame+37
Fouls+37
AutonomousBlue +7
0Leave3
5Coral scored#5
23Coral points27
23Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +42
16Coral scored#27
56Coral points98
2Processor algae#2
3Net algae#3
12Processor points12
12Net points12
24Algae points24
80Total teleop122
Reef
8L4#11
8L3#9
3L2#8
2L1 · trough#4
26Game pieces#37
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +37
0Foul points0
119Total score156

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6672
#14
52.01.0
50.851.7
Auto13.5
Teleop34.1
End4.3
blue by 5.6
9492
#16
57.50.7
55.656.2
Auto13.1
Teleop36.6
End7.8
Second
4192
#38
38.91.0
37.938.9
Auto8.0
Teleop29.2
End1.7
blue by 9.8
5414
#15
48.70.7
46.447.1
Auto9.9
Teleop35.8
End2.9
Third
16.61.0
15.616.6
Auto2.9
Teleop12.1
End1.5
blue by 31.6
3035
#12
48.20.7
44.144.8
Auto8.3
Teleop36.9
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
80%Auto oddsEarned95%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
9%Coral oddsMissed28%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
35%Barge oddsEarned53%Barge oddsMissed