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Red242
384762.4
118107.9
461029.4
Blue133
436419.9
464142.6
857650.8
100%Model gave it0%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions22511550100150200250300242133

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+79Teleop
+101Endgame
+109Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
0Leave9
9Coral scored#4
44Coral points21
44Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +65
32Coral scored#19
116Coral points67
4Processor algae#2
6Net algae#5
24Processor points12
24Net points20
48Algae points32
164Total teleop99
Reef
20L4#8
10L3#6
7L2#6
4L1 · trough#3
51Game pieces#30
BargeRed +22
26Cage & park4
26Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +109
8Foul points0
242Total score133

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
118
#1
107.91.3
106.0107.3
Auto24.2
Teleop71.9
End11.8
red by 57.1
8576
#20
50.80.5
48.248.7
Auto4.7
Teleop38.4
End7.7
Second
62.41.3
62.563.8
Auto13.2
Teleop39.4
End9.9
red by 19.7
4641
#27
42.60.5
42.142.6
Auto13.0
Teleop27.3
End2.3
Third
4610
#43
29.41.3
28.129.4
Auto4.0
Teleop23.3
End2.1
red by 9.5
4364
#35
19.90.5
19.319.9
Auto5.8
Teleop12.8
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
98%Auto oddsEarned79%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
94%Coral oddsEarned20%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
99%Barge oddsEarned52%Barge oddsMissed