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Red168
14869.9
415331.8
526130.1
Blue126
873217.1
950635.2
268946.4
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15311450100200250168126

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
+42Teleop
+42Endgame
+42Fouls
AutonomousRed +4
0Leave9
4Coral scored#1
19Coral points6
19Total auto15
TeleoperatedRed +38
29Coral scored#20
103Coral points71
2Processor algae#1
5Net algae#5
12Processor points6
20Net points20
32Algae points26
135Total teleop97
Reef
12L4#7
12L3#5
4L2#5
5L1 · trough#4
40Game pieces#27
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +42
0Foul points0
168Total score126

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
148
#2
69.91.1
68.269.3
Auto12.7
Teleop49.1
End8.1
red by 23.5
2689
#10
46.40.0
46.346.3
Auto7.8
Teleop28.7
End9.9
Second
4153
#21
31.81.1
30.731.8
Auto4.9
Teleop18.9
End7.9
blue by 3.4
9506
#33
35.20.0
35.235.2
Auto5.8
Teleop24.4
End4.9
Third
5261
#39
30.11.1
29.030.1
Auto4.9
Teleop24.5
End0.8
red by 13.0
8732
#40
17.10.0
17.117.1
Auto3.6
Teleop12.3
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
96%Auto oddsEarned84%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
61%Coral oddsEarned18%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
91%Barge oddsEarned88%Barge oddsEarned